Amazon is Awesome

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Turmoil to Profit in the Market... and Tesla

Everything opened lower this morning with the exception to Verizon and McDonald's who reported their third quarter earnings and were awesome. The huge drop was a carry over from the down Asian and European Markets. From open, everything went up for the first 20 minutes before retesting the downside. Most stocks dipped slightly lower than where they opened, but once they hit that retest point, everything went up.

You certainly could have profited by buying anything except Catepiller and profited today, but you would have been best to wait for that retest of the bottom. Buying Call Options on Apple and Netflix were very good to profit especially if you held them until the end of the day. Alphabet (GOOGL) and Amazon had great movement, but because they report earnings on Thursday, their options are too expensive to mess with.

Tesla options got very expensive from open because the company has elected to move up their earnings report to Wednesday which is a week earlier than scheduled and 2 weeks before normal. Obviously they must have good news to move up the earnings report like this as we expect them to produce the company's first profitable quarter in a long time. There was news today that notable short sellers have gone long on Tesla stating their new Model 3 is going to put them over the top.

I am very disappointed because I had 2 weekly Call Options with a 260 strike price that I closed out yesterday afternoon. Those 2 options would have been worth 3700 each by the end of Tuesday. If Tesla produces a huge profit, I would expect the company to trade up to 420 by the end of the week.

Something interesting happened today when Verizon reported earnings. Most stocks that move up before earnings announcement typically sell off the next day even when they beat their earnings report. Verizon has been steadily going up for the past month. After the earnings announcement, not only did the stock move up, but it continued going higher after the market opened. That has not happened since July of 2017. Since the 2nd quarter earnings announcement of 2017, every report has beat expectations but the stock reversed it's premarket gains to actually trade lower.

Apple was the first company to have this kind of positive stock movement after beating their numbers on the second quarter of 2018. McDonald's today had similar movement. This is completely different from Netflix which traded down every day since their earnings announcement until today. This trend appears to be reversing with bell weather companies like Apple, Verizon and McDonld's. On Wednesday before the market opens we will get Boeing and AT&T earnings. Boeing will be is expected to be awesome and AT&T won't. I would expect the market to be mixed on Wednesday with some late day upward movement.

Upward movement is expected when Amazon and Alphabet report earnings this week. Both companies are around 200 points off their all time high that was established 3 months ago. What will be interesting is if they move up after earnings, open the following day higher and if they can keep those gains and move higher to get closer to their all time highs. FANG companies tend to sell off after reaching a huge increase. They were making new highs the past couple of quarters post earnings, so this feels different. 

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