Amazon is Awesome

Showing posts with label trading options. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trading options. Show all posts

Thursday, September 5, 2019

Day Trading Focus

I would like to own the job title of day trader. To be a successful day trader, you must focus on keeping your losses small and letting your winners run. Unfortunately I have failed to accomplish this. I have allowed myself to be impulsive in a number of ways including:

  1. Buying options too close to open when the direction is not clear.
  2. Buying call options on green candles and puts on red candles. 
  3. Buying in the opposite direction with the first inclination of change.
  4. Being greedy and expecting to sell where I can get ahead for the day.
  5. Expecting continuation of a sharp movement when the there are signs of a reversal.
Buy low and sell high is the goal when investing in the market. It is near impossible to do that when you buy calls at the top of an upward movement just as it is near impossible to be profitable when buying puts at the bottom of red candles. Most large green candles are followed by red candles and vice versa. It is important to wait for confirmation when buying options. When there is a sharp upward movement after a large movement downward, you must wait to make sure it is not done going down. That might have been your opportunity to buy put options expecting more downward movement. The opposite is true when there is a large upward movement that there might be some downward movement on the way up to a higher point which might present an opportunity to buy calls instead of hoping a put option makes sense.

FACT: If is it the right opportunity, you will be given the opportunity to take advantage of it or it was not the right opportunity. Break even is always better than a loss.

This fact is especially important when buying options near open. At open, there is the most uncertainty for the day and therefore the price of options are the highest. Fear of missing out is very high when trading options but patience is what makes profits by finding the right entry point. Without the right entry point, you are setting yourself up for a loss or break even at best.

Change of direction of a stock might happen once a day or not at all. If a stock opens low, it most likely will not go lower without a test higher. And if a stock opens up, it most likely will go down some before going back up. That first movement might be sharp or it might happen over an hour. Just because a stock acted a certain way, does not imply that another stock will react the same way with similar movement. 

Taking Profits
Being profitable is the key when doing anything. With the stock market and trading options that go to zero, profitability is a must. Many times we set a limit order after entering a position and that limit may be too low or too high. When you have incurred losses, you have a tendency of setting the limit higher than the stock will move in the day. The top of a movement in a day is typically very clear as is the bottom. The top or the bottom of the movement rounds out and the indicators look like it is changing direction. Don't rely only on the indicators only as many times the MACD may show a change before the rounding out occurs.

I believe I covered all of my points. This might not be a good read for someone who is not an stock option trader. I have been depressed and frustrated for so long trading incorrectly. Discipline is the key to being profitable. Typically there is a trade a day that will double or even triple your money. You just must be patient and allow it to present itself. It may not be in the movement that the day starts, but don't expect to see a change of direction because some days it doesn't change for the whole day. 

This might be more of a message for myself, but I am done being depressed and working out of fear. I am angry at myself and determined to do what is right before it is too late. Focus is key along with patience. If it is to be, it will present itself. 

CARPE DIEM!!!


Monday, February 11, 2019

Profitable Options Trades on Friday

Friday marked the end of a long week of earnings. This also marked a year anniversary of when negative fluctuation began. We received the same news as last year from the FAANG companies of Apple, Amazon, and Google (Alphabet) where they produced strong earnings, but mentioned higher cost. This year it is different as we have a Federal Reserve that appears to be easing, trade war is simmering and stocks were far over sold in the last quarter of 2018.

Moving into 2019, companies started quickly providing earnings warnings. Apple was the first to do it on the first day of trading on January 2nd. They went down hard and shot up after that. Apple was the only one to actually drop after the warning. Skyworks went up after the warning and up further after annoucing lower than expected earnings. That doesn't make sense to me.

What also doesn't make sense in how Alphabet goes down either the day after announcing earnings and again for the rest of the week. Alphabet did report earnings on Monday, went down some on Tuesday despite falling hard on Wednesday and Thursday. I did see it bottom early on Friday and bought a call option expiring the following Friday. Check out my chart to the right.

Expedia was a big mover after reporting earnings on Thursday after the close. I saw it run up near it's
52 week high and when the market opened on Friday it came straight down. I noticed that it bottomed just above 129 by 9:45am to I bought a couple 132 calls for next week. I failed to sell them at the peak as I was greedy and expecting it to go higher. I would have been up 260 if I sold them when they were worth 4 a calls. I have that chart to the right also.

The third trade I took part in on Friday was Boeing calls. I bought next weeks 405 strike calls near open. I should have sold when it peaked quickly to take a quick profit because that is typically what Boeing does on a Friday. Or I could have bought a Put near the quick morning peak and sold it for a profit when it bottomed around 11:30am. That time would have been the best time to buy call options on Boeing as it went
straight up from there. I sold my calls earlier than I noted on this chart because I sold them at 1pm and did not expect it to go higher from there. If I held until close, I would have made the same profit as if I sold in the first 10 minutes of the day.

That brings a huge reminder to take your profits early and do something else for the rest of the day. The stock of your choice must go higher than previous morning high for your option less than 2 weeks out not to depreciate due to time decay.

/As usual, I hope this helps someone. I am still trying to refine my skills and be profitable in larger amounts every day. My main issue is buying too early and not waiting for a confirmation on the proper entry point. I did it on Alphabet and Expedia on Friday, but failed to do it correctly on Boeing which made taking the largest profit not possible since I got burned earlier when the MACD and the Stochastic Indicators peaked and I didn't sell.

IMPORTANT LESSON: Many times you can profit in less than an hour. You will not make more by holding longer. This is not a job and you do not make more watching it go down. You actually lose and will lose twice as much as you could have gained if you don't get out at the right time. Take your profit and run!




Friday, December 28, 2018

End of a Crazy Christmas Week Trading

After yesterday's large market run, everything was poised to open lower today like yesterday. After the morning spike up, downward movement was coming. It was obvious that the movement was very muted today unlike past Friday's when Alphabet (GOOGL) would give up 20 to 30 points in one morning.

I decided that today I would trade options on the QQQ ETF instead of on Alphabet. I find that Alphabet's options are very expensive as are all of the FANG stocks, but this ETF moves with FANG and doesn't appear to have the premium pricing. I was very profitable with my initial trade. Unfortunately I tried to jump in on the other side too quickly without clear signals and gave back half of my profit. I also didn't have anything left for latter in the day when there was the largest movement from 3 to 4pm.

Below I have the charts for Alphabet (GOOGL), QQQ and TQQQ so you can see the similarities. I also made a quick video trading lesson on my YouTube channel.





Thursday, December 27, 2018

Wild Thursday After Christmas

Slowly everything appeared to go down on Thursday until a bottom of resistance appeared at 2pm. At 2pm everything shot straight up. I took advantage of the initial rise, bought my Puts at the wrong time and then didn't sell on time, and didn't have anything left to take advantage of the awesome run in the afternoon.

This created a light bulb in my head, so I made a video about it


Tuesday, December 25, 2018

Christmas Eve Market Movement

Everything moved together on Monday, Christmas Eve. If you follow my blog, you know I like trading Alphabet (GOOGL). On Monday, Alphabet opened near the Friday low and moved up. It got up to 992 then came back to 982 which was the buying point of Call Options. It appeared to pause at 1000 before shooting up to 1010 (sell calls and/or buy Puts) and then came down from there. From there it retested the upside at 1004 and fell for the rest of the day. The last few minutes of the shortened trading day it fell hard near the opening price. Many other stocks fell lower like Home Depot.

Check out my commentary video below



Monday, July 9, 2018

Monday Market Crazy


  • The Market opened higher today,came back a little before heading higher. The banks are the first to report quarterly earnings for the second quarter on Friday so this movement is due to the strong labor numbers from last Friday. I would expect to see the Nasdaq hit a new high this week before the market pull back on Friday. 
  • FANG lead by Amazon, Netflix and Alphabet opened higher, had a minor pull back before pushing past the morning highs near the end of the day. If you didn't sell your calls in the morning around 9:50am, you would have had to wait until 3:55pm to sell positive which was still 2 less than this morning. This morning was difficult to find the peak because so many different stocks gave different indications even within FANG.
  • TRADE: If you were following Alphabet (GOOGL) you would have seen it open higher than Friday's close and come down a couple of points. There was the first buying opportunity for Call Options. It shot up to 1162 before coming back within a point of it's open by 9:40am which gave the 2nd opportunity to buy Call Options. It shot up to 1166 by 9:55am which presented the best selling point this morning to get out because it retraced back to where it started, but never went negative for the day. I prefer making money quick and wait for another opportunity so here is the way to play it without worrying about the afternoon. 

  • LEARNING LESSON: When exiting one position that is cutting a loss, don't jump in to the opposite direction trade too quickly because it might not continue in that direction or might have run out of steam and might not move further. You are better to wait for another day or when the trading signals point to making a change. 
  • ADVICE: Don't enter a new trade before 11am as you will almost always have another chance later. 

Friday, June 29, 2018

Positive Ending to the First Half of 2018


  • Yesterday after the market close the Fed Stress Test results came in favorably for almost all banks. Thankfully when the banks are up, Amazon and Google go up too and I trade Alphabet (GOOGL) options primarily.
  • Alphabet was poised to open $6 higher than yesterday's close. So I watched it go up and then come down in the first 10 minutes which showed me that it was going up to start the day so I jumped in buying 5 Call options with 1137.50 strike price. It quickly ran up to 1141 where it stalled. I was quick on the trigger after missing on $500 yesterday and sold for a max profit. See illustrations below:
  • From selling my Call options at the top, Alphabet slipped down and came back, but didn't make a new high. That is where I bought a Put option. Unfortunately I sold it too soon as I made another $125, where if I had more conviction I would have held it a bit longer for a $400 profit.
  • There is no guarantee with anything. I just try to make money based on momentum opportunities I see in the market with specific stocks. The option prices in Friday are the lowest due to the limited time they are good, but the opportunity to make a profit diminishes without momentum that is carried through the day. 
  • Learning Lesson:  Never submit a Sell to Close at Market Price before the market opens at 9:30am. I bought back an out of the money call option on Best Buy with a strike price of 77 with the expectation that I could close the position out for under $10 because it closed on Wednesday for .06. When I looked at the transaction details I bought it back for $41 yesterday at market open. Best Buy ended the week below $75 and this option would have expired today worthless which would have saved me $41. I bought it back yesterday because Best Buy is a retail stock that moves with FANG many times and FANG was so low Wednesday that it was going up on Thursday. I expected Best Buy might have the possibility of going above 77 by the end of the week and I didn't want to chance it if I could close the position for under $10. MY BAD!

Profits Only, Please!!!

I have spent the last 2 years trying to figure this day trading with options thing out. I hit an ultimate low this past Tuesday and felt lo...